Scenario 1: Open-Drive Gap Up
OD-BULL π
Opening Condition
Price opens > Today VAH or > Tomorrow H3
Institutional Action
If Opening CVD surges > +25,000 in first 3 mins, do NOT short. Ride momentum to H4/R1.
Targeted Strike Watch
Candidate: ATM / 1-OTM CE
β οΈ Exhaustion Gap Warning: If Open > VAH but 09:15-09:18 CVD is NEGATIVE (< -15k), do NOT chase CE! This is an exhaustion trap; expect dump back to POC.
Scenario 2: Open-Test-Drive from CPR Floor
OTD-BULL π‘οΈ
Opening Condition
Price opens near CPR, tests BC / Central Pivot
Institutional Action
Wick rejection at BC or Central Pivot. Responsive buyers step in. Target TC & VAH.
Targeted Strike Watch
Candidate: ATM CE at Pivot
β οΈ Invalidation Rule: If 1-minute candle closes solidly below BC with heavy volume, bull thesis is instantly killed.